From: vince@offshore.ai (Vincent Cate)
Newsgroups: sci.space.policy
Subject: Re: Asteroids or bust!
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Ordover@aol.com (John Ordover) wrote in message news:<a0863366.0405271756.bbe71d1@posting.google.com>...
> > I am coming to the opposite conclusions as it seems possible to me to
> > construct highly effective small unmanned lunavators that collect
> > regolith without the need for any surface infrastructure.  
> 
> Who exactly are the customers lining up to buy regolith?

It is not yet clear there would be.  Just reading:

   http://www.meteorites.tv/lunar_meteorites.html

They say there is a total of 30 lunar meteorites with a combined
mass of only 6 Kg.  Yet they are selling lunar meteorites for
about $1000/gram.  At this price the total value of all lunar 
meteorites would be $6 mil.   If this is all true, the 
regolith is not really very valuable.

On the other hand, millions of people are enthusiastic 
about humans going into space.  It seems there are people who
would pay for some regolith brough back from the moon when
they would not pay for a lunar meteorite.  I can imagine
sellers including a video with each rock showing the area
on the moon it came from, the actual picking up of the rock,
and zooming in close for detail on the rock.  This would make it
so a customer could be rather confident that what he was
buying was legit, and that he could sell it to someone else.
It would also be fun.

I think some people would buy lunar rocks to support 
space development.  People donate to all kinds of things
by buying something at an inflated price.  

But what the demand curve looks like is really an open question.
At price like $200/gram you could probably sell more than 
$100 mil but it might be very hard to sell more than $1 bil
at any price.  Really hard to say.

   -- Vince


